Showing posts with label economy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label economy. Show all posts

Monday, July 27, 2026

Blogaround

Image source.

Links not related to the antichrist:

1. Capitalism vs. Socialism? Get Serious. (July 6) "We’re not in a Manichean struggle between two monolithic systems. We’re just deciding where to draw the line between the private and public sectors of our economy."

2. JK Rowling deadnamed and posted 'upskirt' photo of trans woman on X (July 17, via) "It was true that Rowling posted a photo that could reasonably be considered an "upskirt" photo, meaning a voyeuristic image intended to show the crotch area of a person wearing a dress or skirt."

3.  "The Millipede March!" Bug Dance 🐛🐞 Insect Brain Break | Danny Go! Songs for Kids (2024) I have small children that like to watch these videos from Danny Go. They're high-energy music videos to get kids to dance and exercise. After watching a million Danny Go videos, I've been brainwashed into kinda liking them.

4. In Turn Each Woman Thrust Her Head (2018, via) [content note: misogynistic violence] "At the university, in my literary-nonfiction class, female students bring me their stories. They are eighteen, nineteen, twenty and should be writing about gathering friends, stocking a ship with provisions, going out to seek adventure. But too often, one will hand me an essay about being raped. I realize the ability for women to articulate these stories is new and should be celebrated, but they carry Odysseus’s judgments, Homer’s lens. The students wonder: Did they somehow give permission? Did they obediently mop up the blood? Did they put their own heads through the noose? And the male students described are clearly rehearsing instructions for what they think makes a man. I am overwhelmed by the tales of the maids."

5. It’s not ‘pick and choose.’ It’s pick a side. (July 24) So, the point that Fred Clark is making here, that the bible is a collection of arguments and as readers we choose which side we agree with- yes, I basically believe that, BUT I think this doesn't quite answer the "picking and choosing" accusation. 

When conservative Christians say progressive Christians are not legit because we are "picking and choosing" which biblical texts we agree with, that comes from a perspective where the whole bible is correct, the whole bible is in charge of us, the whole bible teaches 1 consistent thing, and where there appear to be differences of opinion in the bible, that's just because we need to work harder to understand it- it *does* teach 1 consistent thing, if understood correctly. You can't just believe that parts you like and ignore the parts you don't like. You have to believe and obey the whole thing.

But the "progressive" view that Clark is talking about here is different from that. He's saying, the bible presents different voices talking about these topics (inclusion vs exclusion is one of the big topics), responding to each other, and some of them are wrong. The bible is not in charge of us; instead, we read the bible and judge which arguments make sense. 

So in order for this "it's about picking a side" idea to make sense, we have to take a step back and talk about what the bible is. Is it just simply true? Is it teaching 1 thing? Is it in charge of us? No, no, and no.

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Links related to the antichrist:

1. These Are the Headlines That Elon Musk Says Don’t Exist (June 23) "Children are starving and people around the world are going without medical care that was being provided by USAID. People are dying as result of Musk’s action. And to deny this fact is to deny reality."

Tuesday, December 9, 2025

Blogaround

Links not related to the antichrist:

1. Elon Musk’s Grok AI Is Doxxing Home Addresses of Everyday People (December 4, via) "In response to prompts as simple as “[name] address,” we found Grok repeatedly offered up accurate, up-to-date home addresses of everyday people, while offering astonishingly scant pushback."

2. The Most Hated Children's Book (December 4) [content note: the Holocaust, also spoilers for "The Boy in the Striped Pajamas"] "And so we're left with this kind of hollow story. A boy who spends a year, a full year, talking to a victim of the Holocaust, who does not learn one single thing about it."

I haven't read "The Boy in the Striped Pajamas" but the first time I heard about the plot, I assumed that it was meant to make these 2 points:

  1. A lot of people in Nazi Germany really had no idea what was going on in the death camps, even military families who lived right next to them. Uh... is there historical evidence of this? If this is not true, then yikes it's extremely irresponsible to write it in a book as if this was a real phenomenon. Sort of saying that the Holocaust just kinda happened and it wasn't really anyone's fault except maybe the leaders at the highest levels.
  2. I thought the point of the ending was a judgment on the father- the father is overseeing mass murder throughout the whole book and thinks it's fine, but then when it's his own son getting murdered, then it's a horrible tragedy which wasn't supposed to happen. I assumed- not reading the book but just a summary of it- that the point was to teach the father a lesson about how wrong he was- that the father was getting what he deserved. But I've read criticism of this book which says this is basically just played straight- like the book makes you feel like the tragedy is that the son of a Nazi leader was killed, that's terrible and wasn't supposed to happen, whereas the constant mass murder of Jewish people is fine. I thought the point of the book would be exposing this way of thinking and showing how immoral it is, but ... apparently it doesn't? Like I said I haven't read it, and maybe it's open to interpretation how much the book just kinda goes along with this "it only became a tragedy when this one German child died" and how much it calls out that way of thinking.

3. Chinese Backstreet Boys - That Way (2005) My husband told me this video went viral in China 20 years ago. It's 2 goofy students lip-syncing to "I want it that way." I love this.

4. Vibecession: Much More Than You Wanted To Know (December 5) "Are the youth succumbing to a “negativity bias” where they see the past through “rose-colored glasses”? Are the economists looking at some ivory tower High Modernist metric that fails to capture real life? Or is there something more complicated going on?"

5. UN humanitarian chief: world needs to 'wake up' and help stop violence in Sudan (December 7) "The United Nations estimates around 200,000 civilians were trapped in el-Fasher when the army withdrew, and there is evidence that many were systematically killed, with thousands still unaccounted for."

6. Reality Bites: Meituan’s ‘Rosy’ Delivery Ad Hits a Nerve in China (December 8) "'It’s clear from the video that not only has the director never been a food delivery driver, but also that he has never ordered take-out,' one user said in a video response on Xiaohongshu, also known as RedNote, receiving more than 29,000 likes."

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Links related to the antichrist:

1. Trump to Disaster Victims: Drop Dead (December 3, via) "Whenever someone comes to him in need, whether its Volodomyr Zelensky, helpless African children dependent on USAID, or rural Michiganers, his cruelty is activated."

2. HHS changed the name of transgender health leader on her official portrait (December 5) "Levine told NPR that it was an honor to serve the American people as the assistant secretary for health 'and I'm not going to comment on this type of petty action.'"

3. CDC advisers vote to overturn decades-long policy on hepatitis B vaccine for infants (December 5) "'Our question is why? Why is there pressure today to change something that has been working, due to safety concerns that may be more theoretical than real?' asked Dr. Grant Paulsen during Thursday's meeting."

Tuesday, October 21, 2025

Blogaround

Links not related to the antichrist:

1. Michael Tait | CCM's Biggest Star Abused Others For Decades [re-upload] (August 2) 1-hour-46-minute video from Fundie Fridays. I've posted other links about this before. Here is a long video which explains the whole entire thing. It's really horrifying the way he sexually abused people.

2. Israel strikes Gaza as both Israel and Hamas accuse each other of breaching ceasefire (October 19) 

3. Story of The Split: a zine about ace community history (October 19) "This term—this specific string of words—does not come from the ace community. It comes from people framing ace community vocabulary writ large as a threat to gay people."

4. Never Too Late: China’s Takeout Apps Remove Tardy Delivery Fines (October 20) "Under the pilot rules, drivers will no longer face immediate cash deductions for late deliveries."

5. Enchanted Capitalism (2023, via) "In the past, humans generally believed that the metaphysical structure of the world was determined by God. In a capitalist society, money plays that role: without money, you, or at least your needs as a human being, don’t exist."

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Links related to the antichrist:

1. No Kings, October 2025 (October 18) "If you google 'how to prepare for a protest', I think the advice is overly cautious, preparing for the worst.  But the median protest is entirely safe."

Also: Photos: Scenes from the No Kings Protests (October 18)

Photos: ‘No Kings’ Anti-Trump Protests See Massive Turnout Across the Country (October 18)

2. As tensions rise in Chicago, volunteers patrol neighborhoods to oppose ICE and help migrants escape (October 17) "Witnessing ICE arresting people in this area has become an almost daily occurrence over the last few weeks, Ivan says. A few days ago, he took a video of an enforcement operation happening at the nearby grocery store." (I posted a different link about this same group a few weeks ago.)

3. The Pro-Massacre, Pro-Segregation, Pro-Eugenics Administration (October 17) "Put another way, we’re no longer in the usual realm of Republicans whitewashing or downplaying the darkness in our history, e.g., the Supreme Court saying we don’t need voting protections because racism isn’t so bad anymore. This administration has upgraded the earlier model, showing through word and action that it believes the shameful sides of America’s past were, in fact, good—even examples to follow today."

4. In Shambles (October 20) "Petro tweeted that 'US government officials have committed murder and violated our sovereignty in our territorial waters. Fisherman Alejandro Carranza had no ties to drug traffickers and his daily activity was fishing.' He added, 'We await explanations from the US government.'"

5. Unfettered and Unaccountable: How Trump is Building a Violent, Shadowy Federal Police Force (October 18, via) "Speaking on condition of anonymity for fear of retaliation, the official rattled off scenes that once would’ve triggered investigations: 'Accosting people outside of their immigration court hearings where they’re showing up and trying to do the right thing and then hauling them off to an immigration jail in the middle of the country where they can’t access loved ones or speak to counsel. Bands of masked men apprehending people in broad daylight in the streets and hauling them off. Disappearing people to a third country, to a prison where there’s a documented record of serious torture and human rights abuse.'"

6. Adelita Grijalva was elected to Congress. But she's having trouble doing her job. (October 20) "Democrats in both Washington and Arizona have ramped up pressure on Johnson to schedule Grijalva's swearing-in ceremony, with House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y., on Friday sending a letter to the speaker demanding he swear in Grijalva during a short session, as the speaker has done in the past with Republican members-elect."

Monday, July 21, 2025

"The Case for Open Borders": Exploiting workers on both sides

US-Mexico border. Image source: By User Larsinio on en.wikipedia - Originally from en.wikipedia; description page is (was) here19:00, 11 April 2006 Larsinio 1152x862 (189,587 bytes) (from http://www.fmcsa.dot.gov/print.asp?URL=/cross-border/nafta-rules/new-mexrule.htm), Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=791553

Here's another quote from "The Case for Open Borders". From page 208:

Simultaneously, 50,000 midwestern auto workers, mostly in the midwest, lost their jobs. Many of those jobs went to Mexico, where, Akers Chacón reports, productivity rates increased over 66 percent between 1990 and 1999. During the same period, however, real wages fell by about 20 percent. Unionization rates also dropped over the same period. In other words, the open-borders-for-capital and closed-borders-for-people schema is a lose-lose for both American and Mexican workers. Closed borders is a win only for the corporations, which use the border as a wedge to lower wages, undercut worker protections, and keep the assembly line zipping.

Opening borders would immediately strip corporations of a key tool of exploitation, offering workers easier access to decent wages and facilitating collaboration and collective organization.



Wednesday, July 9, 2025

On Skipping My Daily $5 Starbucks

Starbucks cup. Image source.

I recently published my review of the book "Portfolios of the Poor." Here's the follow-up post.

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I want to talk about the different ways that people think about the math involved in a household's budget. I have some possible models here; none of these models can account for everything. Some are useful in some situations, others are useful in other situations. It all depends on whether the factors that are omitted from a particular model are a big deal or not in your own situation.

I have here 6 different models for how to mathematically conceptualize the way people make choices about spending their money. This isn't "here's 6 different ways to plan your budget- pick which one works for you" because they're not all aimed at addressing the question of how to plan one's budget. They're not all about the same thing. But they're all related to how to think mathematically about the choices people make with their money.

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Model 1: Skipping your daily $5 Starbucks

Here's some financial advice I've heard many times: "It's not hard to save for retirement! Just stop spending $5 every day buying Starbucks! If you save $5 a day, multiplied by x number of years, [insert some math here], then you'll have a million dollars!"

This has always struck me as a bit ridiculous, because why on earth are they assuming everyone spends $5 at Starbucks every day? Hey, actually I already never go to Starbucks- oh my goodness, that means I am therefore a millionaire? You know, before Starbucks was founded, everyone was a millionaire.

This financial advice assumes a budget model like this: You have a certain income each month, and certain expenses, and they are very precisely calibrated to match exactly. When you make this one little change- you quit going to Starbucks- nothing else in your life will change. Therefore, the result will be that the $5 each day accumulates in your bank account, eventually adding up to thousands of dollars.

The big problem here is the assumption that nothing else will change. If you don't spend the 5 bucks at Starbucks, maybe you'll end up spending it somewhere else. This won't *feel* like a conscious choice- you won't feel like "well I didn't spend $5 on Starbucks today, therefore I will spend $5 on something else"- but who knows how the chaotic pile of experiences and thoughts you have every day will shift when you stop going to Starbucks? Who knows how that is going to shake out and the effect it will have on the amount of money you spend that day? 

Honestly, I don't think people have a fixed plan of what they spend money on, where if they change 1 thing, nothing else will change. I think people don't really have a plan, but they have a vague awareness of how much money is in their bank account, and a belief about what sort of lifestyle is a match to that, and which things are "too expensive." (This model I am calling "vibes", see below.) If you stop spending money on Starbucks, and the money starts accumulating in your account, you'll end up thinking "oh yeah, sure, we can go out for a fancy dinner, I have enough money" and you won't even be thinking about "no, I can't spend that, that is the I-don't-go-to-Starbucks-anymore money."

There's so much variation in a person's spending, from one day to the next, one week to the next- it's hard to say how to even measure the difference that $5 here and there would make. (I'm really interested to know if anyone has done a randomized controlled trial of some kind.)

No, to make this "skip your daily $5 Starbucks" advice useful, you have to say it like this: "Stop spending $5 at Starbucks every day, and instead, put that money in a separate bank account that you don't touch." Or, why do we even need to mention Starbucks, why not just say to regularly transfer small amounts of money into a separate account? Or, hey, this would work too: "You can spend $5 at Starbucks every day, and also put another $5 in a separate account every day."

Why even mention the Starbucks? The Starbucks is a red herring! The actual key here is to have that money saved in a separate account, an account that is explicitly dedicated to long-term savings, and you're not going to spend it on everyday stuff just because you have a vague feeling that you can afford to do so.

(And, okay, actually, some variations of the Starbucks advice go like this: "If you stop spending $5 at Starbucks every day, and you put that in a retirement account which earns 10% interest per year, then [insert math here] and you'll be a millionaire." So yes, sometimes it does mention the idea of putting it in a separate account- but it's framed like the reason to put it in a separate account is to earn interest on it. Rather than to keep it separate from the money you spend on everyday stuff.)

I guess it would make sense if the logic is like this:

"You should transfer $5 a day into a savings account."

"$5 a day? No way, that's too much, I can't spare $5 a day."

"Well, stop going to Starbucks every day and put that money in a savings account instead."

But this still doesn't make sense. If someone genuinely believes they can't come up with $5 a day, then would that person really be going to Starbucks every single day? 

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Model 2: Vibes

I mentioned the "vibes" model above, so I want to elaborate on it here. 

I'm really curious about this, actually. Do people make decisions about spending money based on a general feeling about how much money is in their account and what sort of price range feels right for them? I think they do. Realistically, I don't think people make their purchasing decisions by consulting a carefully-planned-out budget. I mean, I think about math all the time, and I don't even base my everyday spending choices on an explicitly-planned budget. I just go on vibes. Like, yeah I can spend x amount of money on something, because it's basically in the range of what I usually spend. And when I look at my bank account, it's never a dangerously low number, so that means I'm doing fine.

To be a little more mathematical in how we define the "vibes" budgeting model, it's like this: For each type of thing you might buy, you have a *feeling* about what a normal price should be, and a *feeling* about how frequently you should buy it. When faced with a choice about buying something, you check if the price matches your feeling about what a good price would be for that thing, and you search your memory for the last time you bought it. (For example, when thinking about buying a new computer, you think "I've had my old computer for 5 years already, so it makes sense to buy a new one." When thinking about going out to eat, you think "we've already gone out to restaurants 3 times this week, we can't go again.") That's all. And every now and then, you look at your bank account balance. If it's reasonably high, then no need to do anything. If it's way lower than you expected, then you temporarily change your behavior and put off buying stuff as much as you can, until the next time you get paid and your bank account is normal again.

I feel like, this is basically what my parents did when I was growing up. There wasn't a big overarching household budget, but if I asked my mom for fruit roll-ups at the grocery store, they were "too expensive." Like, it wasn't precisely defined anywhere, but we just had a sense of what's a reasonable amount of money to pay for things, and what's "too expensive." I don't mean we literally didn't have money to afford fruit roll-ups. I mean that we had a strongly-held belief that it's just not right to pay x amount of dollars and all you get is fruit roll-ups. That is- in some absolute, objective way- not worth the money, and therefore it just feels wrong.

And sometimes something is "too expensive" but then you come up with a reason to buy it anyway, like "we're on vacation."

(My parents also had savings accounts for various long-term things, and followed all the standard good financial advice- it wasn't all "vibes." But the day-to-day stuff, the feeling of things being "too expensive" but never defining what that means- that's vibes.)

And honestly, if you aren't going to do the work of planning an actual budget, a general aversion to spending money on things that are "too expensive" probably will serve you well. Yeah, I feel like this is the strategy I internalized about money, and overall it has been a positive thing for me, though there are things I don't like about it.

But also, for some people, vibes-based budgeting is more like, "I feel like it's fine to spend money on this thing because I have more money than that in my bank account." I don't think this is good- just because you have money available to you doesn't mean it's a good idea to spend it. You should do some long-term planning and then reach a conclusion about how much money it's okay to spend on stuff you don't exactly need. Or, if you don't want to do that much work, set up an automatic transfer to move 10% of your income to a separate account every month. That's a good start.

And for my husband and I, our current strategy for the big picture is based on the envelope method (described below), but for day-to-day stuff, I just use vibes. I feel like, it's fine to spend x amount of money on dinner, because I often spend x amount of money on dinner, that's just the lifestyle I have, and it's working fine for me.

There are a few problems with "vibes" though: First of all, it doesn't apply to long-term savings goals. It's just about your feelings about your current situation, your current bank account balance, and the potential purchase that's right in front of you. People don't really have a feeling about the fact that, in order to be on track for their kid's college savings account, they need to have some certain amount saved when the kid is 5, or when the kid is 10, and so on- that's not a feeling, that's something you actually have to do the math on.

Also, the vibes model has no mechanism to match your income to your expenses. It's just about what "feels" like the right amount of money to spend on things- but in reality, there is no "absolute truth" about the right amount of money to spend on things. It should be based on how much income you have. If you're using vibes and your feelings are miscalibrated and you're always spending too much and then panicking when you look at your bank account, well that's not good- that could be avoided if you planned things out better. And if you're using vibes and you're very frugal, you won't need to panic about your bank account being low, but you're missing out on things that your extra money could be used for (investment, charity, buying nice stuff that makes you happy), if you had a more clear plan about it.

Another problem: The "vibes" strategy is extremely vulnerable to lifestyle creep. You say "oh I can't buy that, it's too expensive" and then at some point later you say "well just this one time it's fine" and gradually your feelings about what's "too expensive" completely change.

Another problem with vibes is you're not able to figure out which things give you better value for your money. For example, let's say you often spend $20 for dinner, and you often spend $20 to buy a bunch of snacks at the grocery store, and you often spend $20 for whatever other things. In the vibes model, all of those feel about the same, because all of them are within the normal range of what you spend money on. But there may be a huge difference in how much benefit you're getting out of them. Maybe the $20 is just 1 dinner, but if you spend the $20 on snacks from the grocery store instead, you can get a huge amount, and that will last you for weeks- a way better use of money than just 1 meal at a restaurant.

I think it would be really useful to have a budgeting strategy which could help you pinpoint which things you're spending money on but aren't really giving you much value- and then you can eliminate those and it will make a big difference. I don't know of any budgeting strategy that does a good job at this- you would have to assign some kind of score to every single thing you buy, it would be an incredible amount of work, and I can't even imagine how one would come up with a standardized scale for that- but surely the vibes model is the worst one if that's your goal.

And another thing about vibes: Have you ever heard "people spend less when they pay for things with cash instead of a credit card"? There are some financial advice people really walking around saying "you should NEVER use a credit card, you should pay cash for EVERYTHING" because of this supposed "fact." I have my doubts about this- I haven't tracked down whatever scientific study this supposedly comes from, but I feel like it would depend on a lot of things, and it just doesn't make sense to claim that this is true about *everyone*. 

But anyway, this idea that people spend more when they are using a credit card than with cash, this makes sense in a "vibes" model. Having access to as much money as you want, via your credit card, is a different "vibe" than having access to only the limited amount of cash in your wallet.

If someone follows a "monthly limits" or "envelope" model (both described below), and they do just fine with planning their budget in that way, then the "use cash instead of a credit card" tactic won't make any difference to them. It only really makes sense in a "vibes" model.

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Model 3: Monthly limits

In the "monthly limits" model, you have a bunch of categories of things to spend money on, and for each one, you set a limit of how much you can spend on it each month.

This is similar to the "skip your daily $5 Starbucks" model. The difference is, "skip your daily $5 Starbucks" assumes everyone has this kind of "monthly limits" model going on subconsciously in the background, whereas the "monthly limits" model as I'm describing it here means you actually made a detailed plan about how each category is defined and how much money you can spend per month.

For example, each month you can spend up to w dollars on rent, x dollars on car insurance, y dollars on clothes, z dollars on groceries, etc. When you add up all the limits, it must be less than or equal to your income. You make a plan which sets these limits for yourself. Every month, ideally you should be under the limit in each category. If you go over the limit in some categories, that means you're not sticking to your budget. That's bad.

Note that this is a different thing than if you asked someone to describe their monthly budget and they said "I spend w dollars on rent, x dollars on car insurance" and so on. They're just telling you what the averages are. That's different from the "monthly limits" budgeting strategy, because in the "monthly limits" budgeting strategy, it's not about averages, it's about making rules for yourself, and if you break those rules sometimes, this model doesn't really have any way to deal with that.

This is what I always thought it meant, when people said "you should have a budget." And at various times in my life, I tried this, but I find it really doesn't work well for me, for the following reasons:

First of all, every month I'm all over the place in terms of which categories I was under the limit, and which categories I was over the limit. And then the next month, I'm again all over the place, but in a different way. So how do I judge whether I'm doing okay or not? Obviously if you're always under the limit in every single category, then you're not in danger of running out of money (at least in the short term). But if you're over the limit in some categories, and under the limit in others, well, that seems like it should also be fine, right? But how do you quantify that? Well you could just add them all up and see if it's a positive or negative number. But then what was the point of breaking things down into separate categories?

(I mean, one possible benefit of breaking things down into categories is that you will realize if you spend more than you expected to in some categories. Like "oh crap, every month I'm spending xyz dollars on taxis? Wow, I don't think it makes sense to spend that much, let's stop doing that." Maybe when you figure out in which categories the reality is very different from the plan, that can help you know how to change your behavior to spend money on the things you actually feel are worth it.)

A second drawback of the "monthly limits" strategy is that it doesn't have a mechanism for long-term planning. In a given month, you spend however much you spend, and then the slate is wiped clean for the next month. But you could modify this strategy to add long-term planning in this way: Maybe one of your budget categories is something you're saving up for, like your kid's college education, and you set some "monthly limit" for it, and every month you "spend" that money (equal to the monthly limit) by transferring it to a dedicated account for your kid's college education. (This would then be a hybrid between the "monthly limit" model and "envelope" model, which I describe below.)

And a third issue is, let's say you're really good at sticking to your plan, and every month you are under the limit in every category. So, as a result, your bank account is always accumulating more and more money (equal to the difference between the limit and how much you actually spent). And then, what? How much savings do you have, and what are you doing with it? This budgeting model can't address those questions at all.

Really, it doesn't make sense to say that you're always supposed to be under the limit in every single category. Then you'll always be accumulating the extra, and not doing anything with it. Wouldn't it make more sense to have a plan for what to do with that extra? Rather than just wiping the slate clean every month. That money still exists in your bank account, but your budget strategy is not keeping track of it anywhere.

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Model 4: Envelope

The envelope model might, at first, look the same as the monthly limits model. In both models, you have a bunch of categories, and you decide how much money should be spent for each category every month. 

The difference is this: In the "monthly limits" model, the number for each category represents the maximum that you feel you should spend for that category. It's sort of a goal, a hypothetical. In reality, your spending might end up being less than that number, or more, but this result isn't really used for anything, except making yourself feel worried if it goes over the limit. 

But in the "envelope" model, you decide how much money goes to each category, and then the money *is* in that category. In your bank account, every dollar is allocated to one of the categories. "Every dollar has a job," is how I've heard the envelope budgeting method described. And then when the next month begins, whatever unspent money remains in each category simply rolls over to the next month. 

This is the budgeting strategy that I have set up for me and my husband. We have a few big categories, and I've calculated the expected cost per year for each one, and divided it by 12 to get the average for each month, and then every month we allocate our salary money to the categories. 

The great thing about this is it doesn't make any kind of distinction between short-term and long-term budgeting. You have short-term stuff, like "how much do we pay for daycare every month?" and longer-term stuff like "how much do we spend on Christmas gifts every year, divide that by 12" and really long-term stuff like "let's save up for both of our kids to go to college." It doesn't matter at what frequency you will actually *spend* the money from each category- they're all treated the same. For each one, calculate how much it works out to on average per month. (For example, for the kids' college savings, it's like "if we want to save x dollars before the kid is 18, how much do we need to save every month?")

When I first heard about the envelope model, and how "every dollar has a job", I thought it meant you have to spend every dollar, every month. I thought "wow that sounds like a bad idea, what about savings?" But it's not about spending, it's about allocating. And then when it comes time to spend, whenever that may be, whether it's now or 18 years in the future, you withdraw from the applicable category.

(See also: Here's How We Do Our Budget, where I wrote about the monthly limits model and the envelope model.)

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Model 5: Priority list

In the "priority list" model, you always have a list of urgent expenses, and when you get paid, you use the money to pay for the items on the list, sorted by which is the most urgent. The sorting is necessary because this model would be used by people whose income is not really high enough to actually pay for everything they need. So there will always be things that they have to say no to, because they just don't have the money for it.

(Disclaimer, I don't have any experience with this myself, so I may be missing some key factors about what it's really like.)

A long time ago I read an article about being poor, which mentioned something like this- "There are sitcoms about families that are supposedly poor, but they're not realistic at all. In one episode, someone made a huge scratch in their wall, and in the next episode, it was gone. It was fixed. That's so not what it's like when you grow up in a poor household. That scratch would have stayed there forever, because you never have the money available to fix it." This fits with the idea of the "priority list"- you never have enough money for all the things you want/need, so you might have things which languish on the list forever, never a high enough priority to actually get paid for.

Similarly, people talk about how, when you're poor, smaller problems can snowball into bigger problems because you don't have the money to fix them right away. For example, maybe something is wrong with your car, and you should get it fixed, so this is on your list but there are always other things which have a higher priority. Until the car problem gets worse, and the car is so bad you can't even drive it any more, and so it moves way up to the top of the list, but it costs a huge amount of money to fix it, much more than if you had just gotten it fixed at the beginning. Same thing for health problems- spending a little money on preventative health care can save a huge amount of money in the long run, but there are always other things which are more urgent, so you keep putting off the health care.

Another example: If you loan someone money, as a friend, it's likely that they'll be more slow to pay you back, compared to how fast they pay back their loans from a bank. Because you're their friend, it feels less urgent. And so if they don't have enough money for everything on their priority list, it's likely they will put off repaying you. Actually, in "Portfolios of the Poor," it said some people actually prefer to take loans which require them to pay interest, because this pushes them to pay it back faster. Yeah, under the "priority list" model, it might actually make sense to artificially increase the urgency of a potential expense, in order to force it to actually get done.

I once read something on the internet about buying paper towels in bulk, and now it lives in my head rent-free, as the kids are saying. It was about how it's so difficult to save money by buying in bulk if your income is low. And maybe you get a group of friends to all pitch in on the bulk paper towels purchase- that could work! But the risk is, what if your friends flake out, and you have paid for the whole huge package of paper towels yourself?

I read that and it didn't make any sense to me, because I was imagining a "monthly limits" model. I imagined that this internet person had a line item in their budget for how much they spend on paper towels every month, and even though their friends didn't come through and pay their share, it's okay because then this buyer gets to keep all the paper towels, so then next month they will continue to use them, and save the money that was in the "paper towels" budget category. And every month thereafter, they can accumulate the money budgeted for paper towels, and then buy in bulk again when they need more- they're off to a great start in getting their whole financial situation turned around, through their bulk paper towel savings. I couldn't understand why this person on the internet was saying it's a problem to buy the whole bulk package.

But, no, how about this: It's a priority list. If they are out of paper towels, then paper towels are on the list. If they have a good supply of paper towels, then they're not even thinking about that at all, because they have much more urgent money problems to deal with. There is no budget line item for paper towels. There is no "wow I'm spending so much less than expected on paper towels." It's nice that they don't have to worry about buying more paper towels, but they have so many other things that they're worried about because they can't afford them- they don't really have the bandwidth to realize "wow it's so nice that I don't need to buy more paper towels."

For people whose incomes are too low to afford all the things that they need to have a decent lifestyle, they're pretty much forced to use the priority list budgeting method. You can't judge them for that.

And then, every once in a while, they get paid and they don't really have an extremely urgent thing on their priority list. So finally, FINALLY, they can buy something nice for themself.

There will definitely be people who would judge them for that, and say "you're always struggling because you don't have enough money, and now you finally have some- you should put it in a savings account, to be ready for the next emergency. It's irresponsible to use it to buy something you don't need." But... when you're forced to live with this priority list model, I can imagine that when you happen to have money and don't have anything urgent you need to use it for, it probably feels like "the future will be full of financial emergencies, regardless of whether I put this money in a savings account or not. But right now, I finally have a chance to take a break from that, and just buy something nice that I can enjoy." We shouldn't judge them for that.

However, there are people who use a "priority list" model when they really shouldn't- their income is high enough that if they planned it better, they *would* be able to afford everything needed to have a decent lifestyle. But they get paid and they feel that their priority list doesn't have anything urgent (you can also view this as using the vibes model), so they decide "let's go out and party" and then a week later when the rent is due, it comes as a TOTAL SHOCK, and they're like "where did my money go?" Yeah, not cool to think you can just spend your money on whatever, just because you don't have any bills due at that exact moment. Maybe plan better!

(Or maybe we could say, this hypothetical bad planner can still use the priority list model, but the first priority on the list should be putting aside the money they will need for rent/ bills/ normal expenses that month.)

It's not good to be using a priority list budget model, because it means you're not really making intentional choices about what you're spending money on- you just spend money on whatever's most urgent, until you run out of money, and for the remaining things, however urgent they may be, well, too bad. It's not good, and you should avoid it if you can, but if your income isn't enough to realistically live on, then you're forced into this.

Here's another example: Let's say that you're giving money to someone (maybe a family member) for some expense coming up in the future. You give them the money, tell them to use it for this specific thing in the future, and then time passes, and then it's time for them to pay for that thing, and they tell you they don't have money. So you're like "What? I gave you money for this. You spent it? How could you be so irresponsible?" You're imagining it like an envelope model, where it's clearly stated that this money is for this thing, and so obviously it doesn't get spent on anything else. But maybe they are using a priority list model, and they feel like you are being really unrealistic for expecting a big sum of money to just sit there untouched for a few months. So really the ideal thing to do here would be give them the money at the point in time they need it to pay for the thing- at that specific point in time, that thing is the most urgent on the priority list.

And there are other variations that you could conceptualize as a priority list, though they're a little different than what I've been describing so far. For example, I've heard of Christians saying "when you get paid, the first thing you should do is set aside 10% to give to the church. And then live on the rest. Our responsibility to tithe should be our first priority, not something we do at the end if we have money left over." This advice seems to assume a "priority list" model- because in the "monthly limits" and "envelope" budgeting strategies, it's not really meaningful to say which category is "first"- you make a plan that includes all the categories, and tweak all of them until the plan fits your income. (Or you could say that this advice falls under the vibes model; one of the inputs to the vibes model is the amount of money you have in your bank account, so you remove that money from your bank account immediately, so your "vibes" don't make you feel like it's okay to spend it.)

Or, you could even conceptualize the envelope model as a priority list model, like "when I get paid, first I allocate x dollars to this category, then I allocate y dollars to this category..." But since the order doesn't change, and you have enough money that you don't run out partway down the list, I feel the "priority list" model is not the ideal way to view it.

See, that's the thing with models- the same situation can be described using several different models. No model is going to be ideal for every situation. Each model emphasizes certain things, and has certain assumptions about your income and about human behavior. It's not that a model is "true" or "not true" of a particular situation, it's that a model may be more or less helpful in understanding someone's choices in a given situation.

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Model 6: Giving your neighbors a feast

I read this blog post a while ago, Collections: Bread, How Did They Make It? Part I: Farmers! (by Bret Devereaux). It's about subsistence farmers throughout history, and the strategies they used to not starve to death if they occasionally had a bad harvest or other problems which affected their ability to farm. Check out this part:

The answer was often to invest in relationships rather than in money. ...

The most immediate of these are the horizontal relationships: friends, family, marriage ties and neighbors. While some high-risk disasters are likely to strike an entire village at once (like a large raid or a general drought), most of the disasters that might befall one farming family (an essential worker being conscripted, harvest failure, robbery and so on) would just strike that one household. So farmers tended to build these reciprocal relationships with each other: I help you when things are bad for you, so you help me when things are bad for me. But those relationships don’t stop merely when there is a disaster, because – for the relationship to work – both parties need to spend the good times signalling their commitment to the relationship, so that they can trust that the social safety net will be there when they need it.

So what do our farmers do during a good harvest to prepare for a bad one? They banquet their neighbors, contribute to village festivals, marry off their sons and daughters with the best dowry they can manage, and try to pay back any favors they called in from friends recently. I stress these not merely because they are survival strategies (though they are) but because these sorts of activities end up (along with market days and the seasonal cycles) defining a great deal of life in these villages. But these events also built that social capital which can be ‘cashed out’ in an emergency. And they are a good survival strategy. Grain rots and money can be stolen, but your neighbor is far likelier to still be your neighbor in a year, especially because these relationships are (if maintained) almost always heritable and apply to entire households rather than individuals, making them able to endure deaths and the cycles of generations.

The farmers described here used this kind of strategy: When you have a good harvest, you should have a feast and invite your neighbors. This way, you are investing in relationships with your neighbors, and if you have hard times later, they will help you.

I think there are likely people today who are in a similar kind of situation- where the best way to protect yourself from financial hardship is not necessarily to save your money in an individual savings account, but to spend it on social connections, with people you can rely on to come through if you ever need help.

Related to this, here's what Jesus said in Luke 14:12-14,

Then Jesus said to his host, “When you give a luncheon or dinner, do not invite your friends, your brothers or sisters, your relatives, or your rich neighbors; if you do, they may invite you back and so you will be repaid. But when you give a banquet, invite the poor, the crippled, the lame, the blind, and you will be blessed. Although they cannot repay you, you will be repaid at the resurrection of the righteous.”

As an American, I had always read this passage and found it confusing- what does Jesus mean about being "repaid"? When I invite people to go somewhere, it just means I'm inviting them to go somewhere- there's not really more to it than that. I don't really think about being "repaid."

But now that I've read Bret Devereaux's article about giving a banquet to one's neighbors, I'm thinking maybe Jesus was speaking to a culture that had this sort of perspective: When you invite people to a feast, that creates very real social obligations. One of the key reasons to hold such a feast is so that your guests will be obligated to help you in the future. But Jesus is saying here, you should invite "the poor, the crippled, the lame, the blind" because they aren't able to repay you in that way. You invite them solely as a way to be kind to them.

And even in Chinese culture, we have this to some extent. If someone gives you a hongbao (a red envelope full of cash) as a gift, you're obligated to give them an equivalent hongbao at some point in the future. Chinese people really keep track of these things. I've heard people say, "We didn't want to have a big wedding, but my parents said we needed to, so they could get back all the hongbaos they've given to people over the years- we invited all my parents' friends, and my parents kept all the hongbaos that people gave us at the wedding."

My husband (who is Chinese) finds it very uncomfortable to have that kind of obligation to people- he tries to avoid it as much as possible. When our first child was 100 days old, and traditionally you would have a party to celebrate, he only invited a couple relatives, and took them out to eat dinner. He didn't want to invite a ton of people, because then they would all give us hongbaos, and we would have to keep track of it, and find some occasion in the future to give them equivalent hongbaos, like maybe for their kid's birthday. Sounds exhausting.

Related to this, it's common that if people come from a poor background and then get a good education and well-paying job, they will be obligated to send some of their money to help their family members. Especially family members who made sacrifices in order to help them pay for their education. The financial advice I always heard assumes you're just an individual, and you're able to freely make choices about what to spend your money on- but that's not true for everyone. For some people, it would be wrong to not send money to help their poorer family members who need it, because those family members helped them get to where they are.

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In this post, I've described 6 different models for how people decide what to spend their money on. Each model is incomplete, and is based on certain background assumptions- therefore this can't be a "one size fits all" thing- it depends on your own specific circumstances. I grew up around a lot of Republicans who had the opinion that "you should be responsible, save your money, have a 6-month emergency fund, if you're not doing all of that, then it's your own fault that you're poor (and you should stop going to Starbucks so much)." But actually, it's more complicated than that. 

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Related:

Here's How We Do Our Budget

Sunday, July 6, 2025

"Portfolios of the Poor" (book review)

Book cover for "Portfolios of the Poor"

I read the book Portfolios of the Poor: How the World's Poor Live on $2 a Day by Daryl Collins, Jonathan Morduch, Stuart Rutherford, and Orlanda Ruthven. I enjoyed this book! Here's my review of it.

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Overview of the book

This book is about research into the financial lives of people whose income is somewhere around $2/day. The researchers tracked several hundred households in Bangladesh, India, and South Africa, asking them very detailed questions, in order to get a clear picture of every single inflow and outflow of money in their household. This even includes really informal stuff like if you owe a shopkeeper $3 because you bought groceries on credit. The kind of stuff that people wouldn't really think to mention normally, and/or that researchers usually wouldn't think to ask about. (The authors reported that they needed several conversations with the participating households in order to really get all the details, because at the beginning they didn't have a good enough understanding of all the things they should ask about.) The book refers to the data collected as "financial diaries" because the goal is to track all the small day-to-day transactions.

(This research took place around 1999-2005 and the book was published in 2009.)

Usually, when you see statistics on global poverty, it's about people's annual income or average income per day. But if you only measure those things, you're missing a lot of what's actually happening. These researchers found that the turnover that these poor households had was very big, compared to their total income. They were constantly lending or borrowing money, in various types of formal or informal arrangements, they had all kinds of different strategies for saving, etc. 

The actual reality of what it means to live on $2/day is much more sophisticated than you'd expect.

The book says that for the households that participated in these studies, the problem isn't just that their income is low. There are actually 3 problems that make their financial lives difficult:

  1. Low incomes
  2. Irregular, unpredictable incomes. Most of the people in the study didn't have regular, salaried jobs. (Some of them did, and that was definitely a huge benefit to them.) Their income often came in irregular amounts, at unpredictable frequencies. Also, farmers often get most of their income during certain seasons of the year, and hardly anything during other seasons.
  3. Lack of financial tools. Poor people don't have access to the same financial tools (savings accounts, credit cards, etc) that I am familiar with. The fact is, though, that poor households need these tools even more than rich households do. One of the big messages of this book is that it would make a big difference if a wider variety of financial services was available to poor people.
So it's not just about "they live on less than 2 dollars a day." It's actually worse than that.

The book says that there are 3 main areas that should be considered when we look at how people manage their money. 

  1. Normal, day-to-day expenses
  2. Saving up for big expenses. For example, capital for a business, weddings, paying for children's education.
  3. Emergencies. When you suddenly need to borrow money because of medical expenses, a funeral, replacing an asset that was damaged or stolen, etc.

For each of these, there is a chapter in the book that talks about the strategies that the diary households used.

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Making it relatable and human

There's something that has bothered me for a long time about the way that people talk about global poverty. It's like... when I hear statistics about how many millions of people don't have access to clean water, or how many millions of people are living on less than $2 a day, etc, I feel like, I can't even imagine what that's like. It sounds so terrible, I can't even picture how a person can live under those circumstances. It's the sort of thing that makes one want to just throw money at a charity so then one can stop thinking about it. 

Hearing statistics about millions or billions of people living on $2 a day- it doesn't feel like they're real people, like me or anybody I know. It comes across like they are caricatures who don't really do anything or have any thoughts besides just sitting around being sad and desperate (and they need YOU to swoop in and donate money so they can get out of that state).

I once saw an article about a photographer in Africa who would take 2 different photos of each person- one photo that portrayed that kind of one-dimensional, people-in-Africa-are-just-sad-and-poor message, and another photo that showed some personality, showed the person in a setting that communicates something about who they are as a unique person. (I can't find a link to this- but if you have also heard of this and you happen to have a link, please leave it in the comment section.) I'm really interested in the way this photographer explored the stereotypes that western people have about Africa, and how that feeds into the sorts of images that are shared, and the way we talk about people.

And the ads that a lot of global poverty charities use- like, they find the saddest picture of a poor child they can find. It comes across like the child is not a whole person- that the only thing that matters about them is they don't have food/water/etc, and they don't really have a personality or feelings or dreams beyond that.

So I like this book because it takes these big scary statistics about "$2 a day" and shows you what that really looks like, how humans whose lives are just as complex as mine or yours or anybody else's keep their lives moving forward in those circumstances. 

The authors point out that none of the households in the study lived "hand to mouth", ie, spending all of their money immediately after getting it. All of them had some kind of savings strategy.

And also, you can see in all the examples throughout the book, which described the circumstances of specific households in the study, that there's a whole range of personality types here. Some people talked about how they didn't like to ask others for money, and preferred to be independent as much as they could, while other people were constantly getting into financial arrangements with everybody. Some people chose not to take microfinance loans because it felt like too much of a risk, others were happy to have access to such loans. Some people were very skeptical the first time they heard about microfinance institutions offering savings accounts, and weren't willing to open one until their friends tried it and told them how it went. All of this feels very real and human to me. It feels very different from just hearing a statistic about global poverty and thinking it's so terrible that I can't even imagine it.

The thing is, though, for some reason learning about the practical human details makes it feel like... less urgent that we take action to help? Charity appeals are like "oh noooo this is so bad, these people are so desperate, if you don't donate money then what are they going to do?????" (The book isn't about charity at all, but this is something I think about.) But the reality is more like, they have ways to scrape by. They are able to plan ahead, and ask family members or neighbors for loans, and so on. Does that make global poverty seem less bad? 

It *is* bad; we shouldn't lose sight of that. The world has enough resources that nobody should live in poverty like that, where they don't know if they'll be able to get their basic needs met. The people described in this book... yeah, the book is about how they're able to manage, and take care of themselves even on such low incomes, but the reality is that it just doesn't work as well when you're living on so little money. People die from medical issues which are no big deal to those of us who have access to good medical care. They have to deal with constant annoyances- unreliable housing, low-quality food, chronic health issues, physically demanding jobs- which could be avoided if only they had more money.

They get by, but not as well as people who aren't impoverished. They get by, but with a much lower life expectancy than people in "developed" countries.

When a potential donor hears "oh nooo these people are so desperate, they need you to send money, or what are they going to do????" that comes across differently than "these people are really in need and you should help by donating money. If they can't raise enough money, their back-up plan is xyz." Like, realistically, usually there is a back-up plan. But you don't *mention* the back-up plan, or else that will make the donors suddenly decide "oh, never mind then."

Or, I guess you can mention the back-up plan if it sounds really terrible, like maybe on a gofundme someone might write "if they're not able to raise enough money, they will be forced to sell their home!"

Has anyone studied the psychology of this- the way potential donors feel like they're off the hook if the potential recipients are portrayed in a realistic human way, taking charge of their lives and making choices about how to move forward even in a bad situation? 

People living on $2/day truly are impoverished and it would make a big difference if we donated money to help them. *But* they're not just sitting around hoping that will happen. They manage their own lives. They make plans related to their finances. Why does that make me *feel* like I don't have an obligation to help them? It's something about being unable to realistically weigh other people's needs and my own needs, I think.

But anyway, the book isn't about charity at all. It wasn't anything about "we should donate money to help them." Its message about how to help them was more like "their government and/or private businesses should invest in infrastructure that can provide them with savings accounts and loans." People manage their own financial lives- but it really helps a lot if they have access to tools that enable them to do that, just like rich people have access to such tools.

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Some financial tools that poor people use

The book described some financial tools that the diary participants used, which I wasn't familiar with. For example:

Savings clubs. This is an informal arrangement where a group of people get together at regular intervals, and each time, they all contribute a certain amount of money, and they take turns taking home the whole pot. For example, you get together with 4 friends (5 people total) once a week, you each put in 6 dollars, and then once every 5 weeks you get to take home the whole $30.

What's the point of this? Well, for some people, depending on their situation, they find it doable to put in small amounts of money at frequent intervals, as a way to save up a usefully large amount of money. Yeah, but why do they need the savings club? Why not just save up the money on their own? Well, they may find it helpful having the social pressure to stick to their plan. And they might not have a good way to keep money safe in their home- there is a risk that it could be stolen, or spent by family members, or just spent by themself when they're not really paying attention to whatever their savings target is supposed to be for that week.

A similar example: Some poor households in South Africa received grants from the government every month. But, receiving the money at a frequency of 1 time per month did not work well for managing their day-to-day cash flow. So some people would pair up and make an arrangement where 1 person receives their money at the beginning of the month, and gives part of it to the other. And when the other person receives their money in the middle of the month, they give part of it to the first person. In this way, the government grant money is split up so they receive it twice a month instead of once a month- which was much more convenient.

Funeral insurance. In South Africa, funerals are expensive, and people have come up with various ways to insure themselves in case a family member dies and they need to pay for a funeral. There are formal arrangements with insurance companies, and there are informal arrangements with "burial societies." For example, there are burial societies where, if a member dies, all the other members need to contribute a certain amount for the funeral. Or, there are also burial societies where everyone contributes money on a regular basis, and it is kept in some kind of savings account, and then if someone dies, their family receives a payout.

Many of the South African diary households had multiple forms of funeral insurance, because none of them paid out enough to cover the full cost.

Moneyguards. Sometimes people deposit money with the moneyguard, for safekeeping. This is helpful if you are concerned about money being stolen or being spent by your family members. But there's a risk- what if you want your money back, but the moneyguard doesn't have it at that moment?

Also, sometimes the researchers had trouble understanding what exactly was going on when the diary participants said they put some money with the neighbor. Does this mean you gave the neighbor a loan? Does it mean you deposited money with them for safekeeping? The tools that poor people use to manage their money don't always easily match up with the categories of financial tools we are familiar with.

The financial tools varied a lot in terms of how convenient they were, and how reliable they were. There were examples in the book of people who joined a savings club, and the savings club fell apart and they ended up losing money. You always have to consider the risk that comes with any of these options.

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It's about how to add up small sums to make big sums

The book emphasized that for the people in this study, they don't have big sums of money laying around to pay for big expenses, but they *do* have small incomes which can be used to save small sums on a regular basis- so they need financial tools which can help them turn these small amounts saved up over time into big amounts.

For example, various kinds of savings accounts or savings clubs, where people are required to frequently pay in small amounts of money, and then at some point they can withdraw a big amount. Or loans- they get a big lump sum of money and then pay it back in small frequent payments. From the perspective of the poor people in this study, savings accounts and loans were pretty much the same thing. Both of them allow you to make small, regular payments, and then withdraw a big amount of money when you need it. This was surprising to me because I always heard that saving money is good and taking out loans is bad- in my mind, savings accounts and loans are complete opposites.

This concept of "these people *can't* pay for big things, but they *can* put aside small amounts of money frequently, and pay for big things that way, so they need access to financial tools that do that" is hard for me to get my head around. If you can't pay $30 one time, but you can pay $3 every week for 10 weeks, well, what? Isn't that the exact same thing? Why can they do one but not the other? Why do they need tools to help them?

I feel like I'm missing something about how to understand the psychology of this. Or rather, I feel like the way the people's budgets actually work in the real world (not just the poor people in this book, but basically everyone) is like this: It's not about "we planned out the correct amount for each category in our budget, which is more or less the minimum we feel we need to have a good life, and all the rest goes to savings." It's more like, you have a vague sense of how much money is available to you, and your lifestyle sort of naturally expands to match.

I think that "personal responsibility" Republicans might frame it as being "self-disciplined" and view it as a moral failure if you can't manage to save up money because you lack good financial tools. But the truth is, it really does take work. Let's say you want to save up $3 a week for 10 weeks. So, every week, you need to have an awareness of what your savings amount is supposed to be, and you need to make sure that you don't accidentally spend it as you pay for your normal life expenses. Remembering what the number is supposed to be, remembering to update the number in your head every week, communicating this number and its importance to your family members so they don't spend it (and/or just hiding the cash from them, maybe that's easier), always knowing how much you have left every time you make a purchase- this is work. And what if you're saving up for multiple things, with different timelines... 

If it was me, I would make a Excel sheet to keep track of this. (Actually, many of the study participants were illiterate, and were just mentally keeping track of their informal loans with their neighbors. Interesting.)

It truly is work to continually make sure you're saving the right amount of money for future expenses. So of course it's helpful for poor people to have access to financial tools which will do that work for them. Even though sometimes those financial tools will charge fees. Here's a quote from pages 148-149:

An example from India shows us just how important these elements [reliability, flexibility, structure that works with a household's cash-flow timing] are to the poor saver. Jyothi works in the southern city of Vijaywada and was described in an earlier book by one of our authors. Jyothi is a middle-aged woman living in the slums she served, and her service consisted simply of walking round the slum each day collecting small deposits from her customers, most of them housewives. She gave them a crude passbook, just a card divided into 220 cells made up of 20 columns and 11 rows, so that savers could keep track of their progress. When all 220 cells were ticked off, Jyothi returned the savings to the value of 200 of the 220 cells, holding back the remaining 20 cells' worth as her fee for her service. Thus someone depositing a total of $44 with her, as 20 cents a day, would get back $40. If we consider this 20-cell fee as interest, and we assume a growing balance as 220 deposits are made over 220 days, then Jyothi is effectively paying her customers a negative rate on the savings-- minus 30 percent a year. Put this fact to the savers and they will tell you to forget your fancy calculations: the fact is that they needed their $40 to ensure that they could pay school fees to keep their children in class for another year. With husbands earning irregularly, the only sure way to build up this sum was to take pennies from the housekeeping money each day and hand it over to Jyothi. It costs them only $4 to form the $40, and Jyothi did all the work. Taken within this context, this is a reasonable price to pay to build badly needed savings.

I don't think we should view this as "poor people are not self-disciplined enough." I think there are plenty of examples in our lives where people choose to put pressure or restrictions on themselves, to force themselves to follow through with good habits they are trying to maintain. You might know someone who paid money to join a gym, even though they could just exercise at home by following workout videos on youtube for free. Why pay the money for the gym? Because they know that if their plan is just to exercise with youtube videos at home, in reality they're not going to do it. But if they're paying money for the gym, they will feel obligated to actually go and exercise. There really is value in these strategies to make yourself do something you know you should do.

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Microloans

The diary households in this book used a wide range of loans, from informal, semiformal, and formal sources. Some examples:

  • Buying groceries on credit
  • Getting an advance on one's salary
  • Interest-free loan from a neighbor
  • Loan from a local moneylender
  • Loan from a microfinance organization

Let's talk about the microfinance organizations.

When I was in college, sometime around 2010, I heard a lot about Kiva, a charity that provided microloans to people in developing countries. The story that was presented went like this: These people have such low incomes, and they can't get loans from normal financial institutions because those institutions don't think it's worth the trouble of doing business with such small amounts of money. If they need a loan, they have to go to a shady moneylender- and the moneylenders charge something like 300% annual interest, oh my goodness, that's terrible. But if they had access to loans with reasonable interest rates, wow, that could really turn their lives around. That could lift them out of poverty. The microloan recipients will be able to start their own businesses- whereas, without the microloan, they never would have been able to save up enough money for the initial capital investment to start their business. And having a business would totally change their life.

"Portfolios of the Poor" shows us that the reality is not really like that.

The reality is more like: 

Okay, so those predatory moneylenders you've heard about? It doesn't really make sense to talk about their annual interest rate, since the loans are often paid back very quickly. It makes sense to think of this cost as more of a fee, rather than interest. Also, people often renegotiate with the moneylenders about their interest payments and the term of the loan. It's very common for part or all of the interest to be forgiven. So if you see a moneylender loan presented as "it's x dollars, for y period of time" and then you use those numbers and calculate the annual interest rate, and your jaw hits the floor, well, no, that's not really an accurate way to look at it. When all is said and done, the total interest might be much lower, and the repayment schedule might be much longer. And there may be benefits in using a moneylender- like convenience, and how the moneylender may be someone who's been a member of your community for a long time, so you know they are reliable, and will probably be understanding if you need extra time to pay back the loan.

And the formal microloan organizations: Yes, it is good that those exist. It is an extremely useful resource to have. But the loans are not all used for entrepreneurial purposes. There was one example in the book of a household that used part of the money from a microloan to buy a cabinet to store their rice in. Something like that, which I would never think of as something one would need a loan for. I would take it for granted that you already have that. Something that doesn't really make for a good story about how these microloans are so amazing and they're rescuing people from poverty. No, it's not really like that.

There weren't any examples in the book where having microloans allowed someone to get to a standard of living that *in my opinion* can be described as "rising out of poverty." These people all had very hard lives- but having financial tools like microloans allowed them to get by, more or less, rather than having a financial emergency cascade into a disaster that affects every part of their life.

The book emphasized how extremely important it is that options such as microloans from formal providers are available to poor people. This is something that helps them a lot. But it doesn't look like the glamorous stories that charities tell, about how everyone is going to be an entrepreneur and escape from poverty. (The book emphasized that it would be most helpful if the loans could be used for any purpose at all- rather than requiring them to only be used for entrepreneurial reasons.)

The microloan organizations are a good thing. Don't misunderstand me. It is a very helpful resource to have. It's good that such organizations exist. But the reality doesn't match the romanticized story that we in the US have heard about microloans.

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The point is that poor people need a variety of financial tools

The book is all about how, when people's incomes are so low and irregular, it's even more important that they have access to financial tools to help them manage their money. The financial lives of these diary households were very complex. They had various methods of saving money, and chose to take different kinds of loans in different circumstances.

They use so many different financial tools, and it would benefit them even more if they had better ones. If they had reliable savings accounts. If they had access to loans with flexible repayment schedules. And so forth.

(And this was published in 2009, based on research from 1999-2005. So probably the situation has changed since then.)

I found this book extremely interesting and I'm glad I read it, because it paints a picture of what life is like for people in extreme poverty, in a way that actually feels *real* to me. I've always felt that, when I read statistics about global poverty, or see ads for charities, it doesn't make them look like real people. It makes them look like, their lives are so terrible I can't even imagine, so I should feel bad, until I give money to a charity, then I can stop feeling bad. Not so with this book. This actually shows poverty in human terms. People making plans, making choices based on their own preferences related to risk and so on. 

"Portfolios of the Poor" was not about charity at all (it was about how governments and private businesses should invest in building the kind of financial infrastructure that would help poor people), but I have some thoughts. It makes me think, maybe charity should actually be really boring. It shouldn't be about me swooping in and making a big payment that feels like a very dramatic, emotional sacrifice. It shouldn't be about how I'm gonna make a big difference and save people so easily. Instead, maybe we should think of it like, people who have high enough incomes should have a habit of regularly giving money to charities. Like, just really really boring stuff, just regular automatic donations that you don't really think much about, but you'll notice them if you look at your bank statements. It's not okay that poor people don't have good options for savings accounts, but at the same time, it doesn't make for an exciting story that people will rally around. (Though the issue about access to bank accounts should really be addressed by governments and businesses, rather than charities, so maybe this is not a good example for talking about charity.) So I think, it shouldn't be a big emotional thing, like it's super meaningful and you're saving people's lives and you have all kinds of feelings about it. It should be that, when you think about it morally, rich people *should* have the habit of giving money to charity. And those boring regular payments do make a difference- but it's sort of in terms of what's going on in the background, rather than being a really dramatic "wow I saved a child's life just now."

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Follow-up post: On Skipping My Daily $5 Starbucks

Related:

My Weird Hangups About Charity

"Winners Take All": Businesspeople Only Want To "Change The World" If It Makes Money

Wednesday, June 25, 2025

On Living Far Away From One's Family For Financial Reasons

Cruise ship. Image source.

I have a couple anecdotes to share about families where one or both parents live in a different city from their children, in order to make more money, because there aren't good enough job opportunities in their hometown.

This is a well-known phenomenon in China. They are called "migrant workers" and "left behind children." It sounds awful, being away from your kids, only able to see them once a year- but it's inevitable that this happens, because of the economic disparity between the big cities and the countryside in China. In big cities like Shanghai (where I live), the salaries are higher and the cost of living is higher. In small cities or rural areas, salaries are lower and the cost of living is lower. So, mathematically, the way to earn the most money for one's family is for a parent to live in a big city and earn a higher salary, while the child stays in their hometown where the cost of living is lower. This kind of situation is always going to exist when there is such a big economic gap between different places.

I have several anecdotes about what I've seen in Asia:

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When I was in college in the US, I had a friend who was an international student from China, let's call her Anna. She helped me a lot with studying Chinese. At one point, she told me about a movie called "Last Train Home," which is about Chinese migrant workers traveling home for Chinese New Year. They only get to see their children 1 time out of the whole year. Anna organized a film screening in one of the classrooms on campus, and a bunch of us got together and watched this movie.

Unfortunately, I didn't really have any empathy about it, back then. My feelings were "why are we supposed to feel bad for these people who are only able to see their children once a year? They chose to move to a different city. Nobody was forcing them. They shouldn't have done that." I had a sort of "family values" mindset where we imagine what a "family" is supposed to look like, and if anyone can't live up to that, we naively blame them and say it's because they didn't value their family enough.

And also, I had sort of a "just world fallacy" thing going on. I didn't want to believe that we really live in a world where, for some parents in some places, there is actually a convincing argument to be made that "maybe the best thing I can do for my children is move far away, and leave them behind, and earn more money and send it back so they can have a better life." That's really awful to think about. It's really awful to face the reality that some people truly are in that situation. That, in some places in China, it's extremely normal for the parents to be gone, and the children are raised by other relatives and only get to see their parents once a year.

I didn't want to believe that that was real, so I just thought to myself "I would never do that" and decided that the parents in "Last Train Home" should just simply have not moved away from their children. Like it was that easy.

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Sometimes I see "heartwarming" short videos on Chinese social media about parents who make such long and difficult journeys home to see their kids for Chinese New Year. I feel these are in the same genre as American news articles about "these kids got together and had a bake sale to pay off their classmates' school lunch debt" or "these employees all donated their vacation time so that their pregnant colleague could have maternity leave, how heartwarming." It's not heartwarming- it's messed-up that this situation even exists in the first place.

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Years ago, at a previous job, working as a software engineer in Shanghai, I had a coworker whose wife and child lived in a different city near Shanghai. This coworker would live in Shanghai from Monday to Friday, and go home on the weekends to be with his wife and child. This is a thing that people do, because you can get a better salary and better job opportunities in Shanghai than in other nearby cities.

That was before covid. Now that covid has made it more normal to work from home, I think someone in that situation should try to make an arrangement with their employer where they always work from home on Mondays or Fridays, so they only have to be in Shanghai 4 days out of the week, instead of 5. (I know that in the US, many jobs are fully remote now, because of the societal changes that came with covid, but I haven't heard of fully-remote jobs in China.)

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I have an American friend in Shanghai, let's call her Chelsea. Her husband is Chinese, and his parents live in a different city.

When Chelsea was pregnant, she told me, "my mother-in-law says we can send the baby to live with her?????"

And I said, "Make sure you make it very clear that your answer is NO. Because she's not joking about that."

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Since both me and my husband have full time jobs and don't really want to do housework, we hire an ayi. "Ayi" is what female nannies/ maids/ domestic workers are called in China. It's common for people at our income level to hire an ayi to do housework/cooking/childcare.

We had always hired Chinese ayis before, but at one point, around the time our second child was born, we decided to hire a Filipino ayi. The situation with Filipino ayis is, it's not legal for them to work in this job in China. But, there is demand for them, because they speak English. International people, like me, want to hire Filipino ayis because they speak English so it's easier for me to communicate with them. Chinese people want to hire Filipino ayis who will talk to their kids in English, to help the kids learn. Filipino ayis are generally believed to be better trained and more hard-working, compared to Chinese ayis.

Anyway, we found a Filipino ayi, let's call her Brenda. When we first had her come for a job interview, she told us about her legal situation- she entered China on a tourist visa, and overstayed it, and that was years ago. She has no valid Chinese visa. It's illegal for her to still be in China. She hasn't traveled back to the Philippines, because then she wouldn't be able to enter China again. Within China, she doesn't travel on trains or planes because there's a possibility that they might discover she doesn't have a valid visa. If she has to travel somewhere, she has to ride in somebody's car.

She said that at one of her previous jobs, the family that employed her heard that police were in the area looking for Filipinos working illegally, so they warned her about it and she had to move elsewhere and find a different job.

I felt bad for her, but also I believe that feeling bad for someone is not a good reason to hire them, because then you'll have weird emotions about how you're doing such a noble thing for them, and you expect them to perform gratefulness, etc. Weird strings attached.

Also, I wasn't sure about it, because I felt I didn't clearly understand the legal situation enough to know whether I was putting myself at risk. I'm an immigrant in China too. I don't want to get in trouble. 

But, I also wanted to find out more about Filipino ayis who work in China. 

But also, Brenda didn't have any experience caring for newborn babies, and I knew in the long term I would need an ayi to take care of the baby full-time when my maternity leave ended. Brenda wouldn't be the right person for that. (In China, daycares typically start at around age 2. Before that, usually people get a grandparent to come and take care of the baby while the parents are at work, or hire an ayi.)

Anyway, we decided to hire Brenda temporarily- and I told her this pretty early on- I said she would probably work for us just a few months, and then we would need to find someone else who had experience with newborn babies.

Brenda was great. She had a good attitude, worked hard, always asked me questions to make sure she was doing things the way I wanted. She was really good to work with. It was easy to communicate with her because she could speak English. I speak Chinese, so that's how I've communicated with Chinese ayis in the past, but it's just easier in English. And my son (who was preschool-age) loved her. (He loves everyone though.)

We paid her more than we would have paid a Chinese ayi. In my experience, Chinese ayis get a salary around 40-50 RMB/hr (this is about 6-7 USD), but we paid Brenda around 60-70 RMB/hr (about 9-10 USD). Actually I have no idea what the normal hourly rate is for Filipino ayis in Shanghai. We just asked her what her previous salary was, and believed whatever she said, and based it on that. I was okay with that because I knew it would just be a short-term thing. If she was going to work for us longer, I would have put more effort into figuring out what a reasonable salary would be. 

But, yeah, I felt it didn't make sense to have her work for us long-term, because what I really needed was someone to take care of the baby, and why would I pay so much extra money when she hasn't even worked with newborn babies before? (And she was also looking for more hours than what I wanted to give her- so it just wasn't going to work out long-term. But we really liked her and I'm glad to have met her and found out something about what life is like for Filipinos working illegally in China.)

There were several instances where I felt like, I'm so privileged and out-of-touch with what her life is like. For example, right when she started working for us, I tried to get a key card for her so she could get into our building. You have to go to the apartment management office with your ID and register in order to get a key card. Brenda was very much NOT willing to do that. I felt like... I'm asking her to do something that might put her at risk. Like I'm so out-of-touch, I don't even understand what I'm asking her to do. Fortunately (???) our apartment complex doesn't actually care about security, and the building door is always left open, so she was able to enter the building even without a key card. 

Also, sometimes she came with me to pick up my son from school. When we were waiting outside the gate with all the other parents, she would kind of nervously side-eye the school security guards. And I felt like she was being paranoid- but what do I know? It's easy for me to say "she's being paranoid" and judge her, when I'm not the one at risk of being deported. It's not right for me to judge what level of "paranoid" she should be.

She told me she has friends who never even take the subway, because there are police there. She took the subway herself though.

She didn't have a bank account in China. I used WeChat to pay her. (WeChat is a Chinese app for texting and social media, and it also has a payment function- you can easily send people money, and stores in China all accept WeChat Pay, so there's no problem using your WeChat wallet to buy stuff.) She couldn't open an actual bank account because banks require international customers to have a valid visa.

And here's another weird thing- one time, we were cleaning out our kitchen and found an old rice cooker, and we were gonna get rid of it, and Brenda asked if she could have it. To mail to somebody in the Philippines. I found it hard to believe that somebody in the Philippines would want our old rice cooker (do they even have the same kind of outlets there? The US has different outlets than China, I have no idea what they have in the Philippines) but she really wanted it, so we gave it to her. Another time we found a box of cables from old electronics, and we were going to throw them away because we didn't even know what they were from, and Brenda wanted those. I think maybe she could get money from recycling them. In the places we've lived in China, there have always been people looking through the trash bins, looking for things they can get money for. Mostly cardboard boxes and plastic bottles. If we hadn't given those old cables to Brenda, I'm sure somebody else would have taken them out of our trash. 

She said that she's heard from other Filipinos that one strategy would be to marry a Chinese man, in order to get legal immigrant status. But, she said, she doesn't really want to. I said, yeah you shouldn't marry someone if you don't want to.

And, yeah, I believe it's a bad idea to marry someone if you don't want to. But I also think it's a bad idea to live in China as an illegal immigrant, but I can't judge because obviously I don't know what her situation was in the Philippines, and why she decided to come to China, and how long she initially planned to stay, and if her life is better in China than it would have been in the Philippines, and if she is earning money for the purpose of supporting family in the Philippines, etc. (Her situation is different from the other anecdotes in this post because she doesn't have kids.) I didn't ask her any of that because it's none of my business. (Also there is a power difference, because I was her boss- she has to act like she cares about my problems, regardless of whether she does or not. So, try not to exploit that.)

There are people in this world who chose to get married for those kinds of reasons, not because of a romantic "I want to spend my life with this person." There are people who are in a situation where that is actually, somehow, a good idea.

From my point of view, it doesn't make sense- she can't even have a bank account, she can't go home and see her family, she can't really travel in China, she always has to be worried about police, she always told me about problems she was having with her landlord, probably it's easy for a landlord to exploit Filipinos who are in China illegally, especially since she couldn't speak very much Chinese, and so on and so on- why would someone choose to live as an illegal immigrant in China? But she knows her own situation, and I don't, so I can't judge. There's a lot of information I just don't have.

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We went on a cruise from Shanghai to Japan. In the ship's main dining room, we were assigned to a certain table, so we had the same waiter every night. Towards the end of the cruise, we were friendly enough with him to chat about what life is really like for him on the cruise ship. He was also from the Philippines. Let's call him Daniel.

We chatted about a LOT of things with him! He said he was happy to talk to us because a lot of the passengers only speak Chinese, which makes it hard for him because he doesn't speak Chinese at all. I started out asking him if the ship only travels between Shanghai and Japan, or if it also goes to other places. And I asked if they have cruises all the time, or if there are some days in between cruises where they don't have any passengers. Turns out, they have cruises ALL the time. Daniel said that after we all leave, the crew has to work hard cleaning all the rooms to get ready for new passengers to arrive that same day. They even bring the waiters in to help with cleaning the rooms.

I asked him if the rooms for the crew were smaller than our rooms (yes).

We had seen the waitstaff all having a meeting in the afternoon, when the dining room was empty, so we asked him what that was about. He got talking about the expectations for their work performance, and how if some customer gives them an 8 out of 10 review, they get called in to the manager's office, like "What did you do???!!!!" (I said, "wait, 8 is bad???") Daniel says, "What can I do, some people just never give anything higher than a 7."

(A week later, when I got the email about filling out the survey, I gave the staff all 10 out of 10. And there was one question on there, "Was there any crew member that told you to give them a good review?" and I put "no" because probably they get in trouble for that. Later there was a question "Was there any crew member that did a really good job?" and I put his name in there, and also the assistant waiter and the woman who cleaned our rooms.)

My husband and I had been wondering about the people who work on the ship- we felt like maybe it would be a good job to have when you're young and want to see the world and you don't have any family commitments. So we asked Daniel about that. He said, his wife also works on the ship. Yeah, it's common for the crew to get married to each other, because you're on a ship in the middle of the ocean, where else are you going to meet anyone?

He said, they have a son. The son is in the Philippines- the grandparents are raising him. And Daniel misses his son a lot, but working on the cruise ship he's able to earn more money than he would in the Philippines, to give his son a good education. And last time he visited home, his son was crying at the airport telling him not to leave... And how he hopes that soon his wife will stop working on the cruise ship and go back home, and hopefully in a few years he will too.

The cruise ship had an activity where you could pay 100 dollars per person to take the "behind-the-scenes tour." No need to do that- you can just talk to the waiter. (I also talked to the Chinese woman who cleaned our room every day.) The people who work on the ship, they know a lot of things. Many of those things they probably aren't supposed to tell you- their job is to give you whatever you ask for, and be extremely polite, and pretend to be happy even if the customers are really annoying and unreasonable, and give you a perfect vacation experience, and make you feel like the world revolves around you...

If you want to ask them things, for your own curiosity, obviously don't do it at a time when they're busy. That's annoying. You should thank them for the work they are doing, show them you appreciate it, be friendly, maybe from there you'll have a chance to ask them about their life, or the practical logistics of the cruise ship, or whatever, if they're willing to talk about it.

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This is a real thing in this world- people who are in a situation where their best option is to live far away from their children. And this will inevitably be true, when some places have much better job opportunities and a higher cost of living, compared to other places. Mathematically, the way to earn the most money and to have that money be used most effectively, is to have the income-earners of the family live in the places with higher salaries, and the children to live in places with a lower cost of living. I feel sad about it, but it's not something that can be easily changed- it's entirely based on the very big economic differences between different places in this world.

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Related:

That's What Radicalized Me (a post about immigration)

"The Case For Open Borders" (book review) 

"The Case for Open Borders": Remittances

On "Unjust Marriage" 

Dog Hotels and Poverty Existing at the Same Time

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